Economic forecasts, global shocks, and sector shifts — here’s what architects need to know heading into 2025.
It’s been a year of shifting expectations. As 2024 ended, UK architecture practices were cautiously optimistic: interest rates were stabilising, political signals pointed to increased investment, and the government was backing housing and infrastructure.
Then came April.
Global markets were shaken by sweeping US tariff announcements. The IMF cut its global growth forecasts. Suddenly, the economic landscape changed. For architects, questions about budgets, timelines, and where the next project might come from are once again top of mind.
In this article, we’ll summarise the key insights from the RIBA Journal Spring Economics Panel Webinar, including:
Despite global instability, the UK construction sector is still expected to grow — and some markets are showing surprising strength.
The sector is forecast to grow by 1.9% in 2025, with residential completions projected to rise 10% in 2026. Government-funded programmes, including school rebuilds and infrastructure investments, are expected to offer stable opportunities for practices able to access them.
UK architectural expertise continues to be in demand abroad — particularly in Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Poland. Firms that are agile, outward-looking, and able to build the right partnerships are well placed to benefit.
While some indicators are positive, many UK firms are still feeling pressure. The biggest challenges noted during the panel were:
In response, many practices are diversifying their portfolios, exploring adjacent markets, and moving to adopt digital tools earlier in the project cycle.
During the Q&A session, experienced practice leaders shared the steps they’re taking to stay resilient. Their advice?
Despite challenges in private housing, several sectors are likely to offer steady work in the year ahead. These include:
Private housing will remain important, especially for smaller practices, but recovery is expected to be slow and uneven. The public sector and international markets may offer a more stable pipeline in the short term.
The market may be unpredictable, but practices that stay flexible, well-informed, and willing to adapt are more likely to thrive. Whether it’s navigating a sudden shift in global trade policy or adjusting to delayed planning timelines, resilience is becoming a defining trait for success.
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